Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNever 71.8%Führend unter 32 Optionen
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d-Änderung
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Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet17. Juni 22, 22:05 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
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Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria: The Associated Press and the New York Times both report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan* Or At least 1000 military personnel from the People's Liberation Army have been deployed to Taiwan for the purpose of putting the sovereignty of the main island under PRC rule.
- *The date that is reported within the articles rather than the date of publication of the articles, will be considered the invasion date.