LimitlessVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 4.5%
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
20. Jan. 26, 18:091. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes5%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt94% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 96% | +92pt | 74.413,2 € | 725.055,6 € | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| LimitlessDiese Seite | Niedrig | 96% | +92pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 91% | +87pt | — | — | vor 30 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.2%5Mon
4%
96%
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen33,6 Mio. €
24h-Volumen74.413,2 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?
5Mon
9.1%
90.9%
Community-Prognose50 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$0.006. Juli7T Daten12. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.