Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 71.5%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet24. Juli 25, 08:34 UTC30. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In what month will China invade Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsIf China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
LimitlessRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 643.190,3 €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-3.5pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt81%
- Yes-5.0pt19%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 260.989,8 €
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030 entschieden?
- Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030 soll am 30. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.