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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. China
  3. Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

One-OffChina1J
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 13%
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

13,4 €

Liquidität

79.034,1 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

12.0% / 13.0%

Spread

8.3%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

1. Apr. 26, 16:2230. Juni 27, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes13%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,628.97+2.53%EthereumETH$1,650.54+2.09%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.83%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.00%XRPXRP$1.12+0.48%BNBBNB$594.98+1.90%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.