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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. China
  3. Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffChina3Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 3%
Marktqualitat

80 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

3656,4 €

Liquidität

69.387,6 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.9% / 3.1%

Spread

6.9%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

17. März 26, 23:2830. Sept. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes3%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%BNBBNB$595.20+1.63%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.