FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 99%
Nein 99%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1372,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
35
Kommentare
3
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Russia attack Europe with military force?
Manifold MarketsWill a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Tensions between the People's Republic of China and the Republic of China (a.k.a.
- Taiwan) have risen since 2016.
- If by December 31st, 2026, the People's Republic of China deploys military strength in an attempt to take control over the Taiwanese territory, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Only kinetic military action will be considered to resolve this market.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and land armored vehicles deployment inside Taiwanese territory.
- The deployment of airships and warships to Taiwanese territories will only be taken into account if it causes structural damage or leads to a martial response, and each of such cases will be analyzed individually.