If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitikChina3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 32.1%
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
15. Sept. 24, 16:4931. Dez. 29, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes32%
Verwandte Märkte
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
1908,5 €Ja: 77%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1143,9 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
454 €Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US x China Military clash before 2027?
13,2 €Ja: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
0 €Before 2027: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
0 €Ja: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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