FutuurVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 10.09.2026, 20:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 22%
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1540,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
0
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · December 31, 22%
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 512.631,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.473,7 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 170.430,2 €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Hamas agree to disarm by which date??
- Futuur bewertet December 31 mit 22% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Hamas agree to disarm by which date? entschieden?
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by which date? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wo wird Will Hamas agree to disarm by which date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.