Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitikMiddle East3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 23%+0.5ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
9,3 €
Liquidität
10.978,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
357
7d-Änderung
+3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Okt. 25, 19:17 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
FutuurWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
Manifold MarketsWill Hamas agree to disarm by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? · December 31 31%
