Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
2.5 Pkt. (24h)US-PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikNaher Osten2Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
December 31 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Referenzwert
December 31 14%Führend unter 8 Optionen
December 31 14%Marktqualitat
53 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
88,6 €
Liquidität
10.233,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
21.319,1 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Kommentare
357
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
9. Okt. 25, 19:17 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
December 31Verloren
January 31Verloren
July 31Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
June 30Verloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
March 31, 2026Verloren
November 30Verloren
October 31Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · December 31
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by which date?
FutuurWhen will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
Manifold MarketsWill AOH1996 advance past Phase II trials by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by the named outcome, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...? · December 31 21%
