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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East16T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30
June 30 3%+0.1%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

414,5 €

Liquidität

17.547,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.7% / 3.9%

Spread

44.4%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-6.2%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

10. Okt. 25, 15:2730. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
October 31
October 31
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
November 7
November 7
0%
March 31
March 31
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 303%

Regeln

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte Märkte

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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December 31: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,9 Mio. €
July 31: 87%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

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Manifold Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]

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Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4577,6 €
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How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

2961,2 €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,519.89+1.64%EthereumETH$1,687.34+1.32%SolanaSOL$69.41+4.08%DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+1.09%XRPXRP$1.15+1.90%BNBBNB$610.09+1.03%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.