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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Middle East
  3. Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffMiddle East19T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30,
June 30, 10%+0.5%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

100 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

12.142,7 €

Liquidität

36.494,8 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

10.0% / 10.2%

Spread

2.0%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

+7.8%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

30. Juli 25, 18:4230. Juni 26, 20:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
December 31
December 31
0%
November 30
November 30
0%
March 31,
March 31,
0%
February 28,
February 28,
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 30,10%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
  • Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
  • Only official announcements will qualify.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,701.00+1.92%EthereumETH$1,652.96+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.13+0.87%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.19%XRPXRP$1.12-0.28%BNBBNB$595.50+1.31%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
  • Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
  • Only official announcements will qualify.