Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
One-OffGeopolitikMiddle East3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet22. März 26, 01:12 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a ballistic missile or cruise missile launched from Iranian territory strikes London (or its metropolitan area) by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major international news sources (BBC, Reuters, AP, AFP, etc.) confirming a direct hit on London.
- The market resolves NO if no such strike occurs by the deadline.
- Iran fired missiles towards the UK-US base on Diego Garcia, part of the Chagos Islands, which is about 3,800km (2,360 miles) from Iran about the same distance from Iran to London.
- Iran's missile range reaches the capitals of Europe — Berlin, Paris and Rome are all within direct threat range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026? entschieden?
- Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria