Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose40 - 50% 39.9%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
17. Feb. 25, 08:58 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SUI and APTOS blockchains merge into a single network by December 31st, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRegeln
This market is the same as this one but uses different buckets and is about a different benchmark.
- The best performance by an AI system on EnigmaEval as of December 31st 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- This resolution will use https://scale.com/leaderboard/enigma_eval as its source.
- If the number reported is exactly on the boundary (eg. 10%) then the higher choice will be used (ie. 10-20%).
- Which AI systems count?