KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 43.6% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Above 43.6% 98.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Above 43.6% 98.5%Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
15.852 €
Open Interest
9125,4 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 43.6%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
14. Okt. 26, 16:00 UTC19. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 43.6%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 59.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 43.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 43.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 49.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 49.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 50.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 56.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 56.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 59.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 59.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 60.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 62.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.1%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 64.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 65.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
