KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 78%
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2062,9 €
Liquidität
1578,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 19:511. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes22%
Verwandte Märkte
Anthropic IPO by __?
11.534,7 €December 31,: 69%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
6236,5 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
4555,1 €OpenAI: 24%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
5356,2 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
307,4 €Ja: 7.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
249,6 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 61.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Anthropic officially announces signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.