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Daten vom 27.10.2026, 03:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2027 15.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 15.5%Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
126,1 €
Open Interest
34.171,5 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 22:37 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiWill OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
PolymarketRegeln
If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Anthropic
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that Anthropic developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with Anthropic on developing that solution. The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem. Work by an independent Claude user does NOT count, even if Anthropic publicizes it. Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution. Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution. Clay acceptance, peer review, and a prize award are not required.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.