PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 1%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
0
Variação 7d
-1.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
7/07/26, 23:37 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsIsrael and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
Manifold MarketsHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a diplomatic meeting between official representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both specified countries or political entities. who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities, deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation between the countries.
- Both direct and indirect meetings will qualify.
- A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of the specified entities directly interact with each other in person.
- An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 30 em 1% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by which date? é resolvido?
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a diplomatic meeting between official representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.