Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Médio3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:02 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 67%
Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado8/05/24, 20:22 UTC1/01/30, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1500 or more official Pokemon creatures on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRegras
10,000 casualties or more within a month constitutes a major war.
- To make it more clear, a month is a calendar month, not a 30 day period.