PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31, 8%-2.9ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
947 €
Liquidez
14,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.8 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
47
Variação 7d
-0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
24/11/25, 18:27 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Hezbollah disarm by which date?
PolymarketHezbollah disarms by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWho will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.