KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Rebeca Grynspan 33.3%Líder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
39,6 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
23/07/25, 14:00 UTC5/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
KalshiRegras
If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The UN
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Rebeca Grynspan 40%
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 355,4 mil
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume total
- € 56,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 292,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 mais resultados
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the next UN Secretary-General??
- A Kalshi cota Rebeca Grynspan em 33% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? é resolvido?
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.