Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69.6%
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9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado4/04/24, 03:29 UTC2/01/27, 15:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
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PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRegras
There has never been a woman Secretary-General
- Guterres is very unlikely to seek a third term, so I will set this to resolve in 2027, but if he does then it should be extended
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman? é resolvido?
- Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: There has never been a woman Secretary-General