PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%Líder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
73,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
2
Variação 7d
+0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
21/04/26, 18:21 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
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KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRegras
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- A Polymarket cota Rebeca Grynspan em 40% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Secretary-General of the United Nations é resolvido?
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Next Secretary-General of the United Nations é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- Onde mais Next Secretary-General of the United Nations está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.