Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.5%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado9/04/25, 07:36 UTC26/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PolymarketWill Algeria and Morocco reestablish diplomatic relations in 2026?
FutuurRegras
Before the Hamas-Israeli war there was intensive negotiations between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Israel and Saudi Arabia formally establish diplomatic relations before the next Israeli national elections.
- This includes any official announcement or agreement that establishes formal diplomatic ties between the two countries.
- The market resolves NO if:
- The next Israeli elections occur without diplomatic relations being established
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 423,4 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,4 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 mais resultados
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections? é resolvido?
- Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections? deverá ser resolvido em 26 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Before the Hamas-Israeli war there was intensive negotiations between Israel and Saudi Arabia.