Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.4%
Previsores
47
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado6/05/23, 12:14 UTC31/12/50, 19:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
The Russian civil war of 1917-1923 doesn't count.
- I only mean a war that started later that the creation of the market (6 May 2023).
- Update (25 Jan 2024): after discussion with @PS, I decided that if an edge case arises, I will check Wikipedia and Western media and see if they consistently describe the conflict in question as a civil war.
- Also, if in doubt, I may or may not temporarily freeze the market and consult the traders, and/or resolve N/A.
