PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 14%-1.0ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
9,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaComentários
2
Variação 7d
-0.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
14/11/25, 20:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
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PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date.
- Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December em 14% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? é resolvido?
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.