Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.

Como Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

GeopolíticaOne-Off17a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 81.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 horas

Desatualizado

15/09/23, 01:46 UTC22/09/43, 03:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.

Resolves in 2043 or whenever the civil war occurred.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

GeopolíticaOne-Off17a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 81.7%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 horas

Desatualizado

15/09/23, 01:46 UTC22/09/43, 03:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

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Will there be a civil war in Hungary in 2026?

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Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

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Sudan civil war ceasefire by which date?

Polymarket

Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Futuur

Hot war between the US and China by the end of 2026?

Futuur

Regras

Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.

Resolves in 2043 or whenever the civil war occurred.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years? é resolvido?: Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de setembro de 2043.
Como Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Civil war: more of 25% of the US by area is not functionally governed by the US government.

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

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