Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente MédioChinaAmérica LatinaTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.3%
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado9/02/24, 14:06 UTC1/03/31, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Iranian State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
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