Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 70.3%
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58
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado9/02/24, 14:06 UTC1/03/31, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Iranian State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? é resolvido?
- Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2031.
- Como Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.