Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente MédioChinaAmérica LatinaTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 87.4%
Não 87.4%Previsores
37
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Metodologia
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Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado9/02/24, 13:31 UTC1/03/31, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Japanese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we
