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Sim 88.5%
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17
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado14/03/26, 03:50 UTC2/01/00, 03:48 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Once a superintelligence exists, I will ask it this question and resolve to its answer.
- (I will ask it to answer based on the most sensible definition of the word as used by humans in 2026.
- And I will exclude answers that seem to be jokes.)
Mercados abertos
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- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
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- € 211 mil
- Volume 24h
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
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- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
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- € 28,6 mi
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- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
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- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
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- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
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- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence]?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence] é resolvido?
- Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence] deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Once a superintelligence exists, I will ask it this question and resolve to its answer.