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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Ciência
  3. Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

One-OffCiênciaWeather6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 24%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

27,8 €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

22.0% / 26.0%

Spread

18.2%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

31/12/25, 19:1731/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes24%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%BNBBNB$595.20+1.63%

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf