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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Space
  3. Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

1.0% (24h)SpaceCiênciaWeatherYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 32%+1.0%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

6,7 €

Liquidez

16,9 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

28.0% / 33.0%

Spread

17.9%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

22/12/25, 15:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes32%

Regras

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027

Mercados Relacionados

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,7 €
Sim: 31%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,2 €
Sim: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

95,1 €
<4m: 51%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

3,3 €
Above 2: 67%KalshiKALSHI
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 5: 0%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,4 €
2nd hottest: 87%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,871.62+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.53+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.89%HyperliquidHYPE$55.72+0.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.73%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.76%

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Regras

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027