KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2030 42%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
571,2 €
Liquidez
154,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
5/12/24, 21:00 UTC31/12/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:NASA
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 131,5 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume total
- € 103,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,9 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 996,1 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 mais resultados
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de NASA lands on the moon??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2030 em 42% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando NASA lands on the moon? é resolvido?
- NASA lands on the moon? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como NASA lands on the moon? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.