Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualUS 53.3%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
205
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado19/08/25, 17:17 UTC1/01/35, 18:17 UTC
Tendências
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
NASA lands on the moon?
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PolymarketRegras
If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China"
- If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a US citizen, resolves "US"
- If multiple people successfully land on the moon at the same time and they have different citizenship, resolves proportionally to those citizenships:
- 1) 1 US citizen and 1 Chinese citizen would resolve the market 50% China, 50% US, 0% everything else.
- 2) 1 dual-citizen of US and Canada, and 2 US citizens, would resolve the market 5/6 US, 1/6 Canada, and 0% for everything else)
- This market will be extended until it can be resolved.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who lands on the Moon next??
- A Manifold Markets cota US em 53% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who lands on the Moon next? é resolvido?
- Who lands on the Moon next? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Who lands on the Moon next? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China"