PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%-0.2pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
3,2 mil €
Liquidez
39,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
8
Variação 7d
+0.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado30/04/26, 18:281/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 601,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 743,1 mil
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+1.0pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt40%
- September 3020%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 55 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 283,1 mil
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- Trump out as President before 2027?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump goes to space in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump goes to space in 2026? é resolvido?
- Trump goes to space in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Trump goes to space in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.