KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 78%+0.6pt
Qualidade do mercado
78 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
906,3 €
Liquidez
99,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
77.8% / 78.9%
Spread
1.1 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
9/11/25, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiRegras
If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
