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  3. How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

4.0% (24h)CiênciaWeatherYearly5m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 2
Above 2 67%-4.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

3,3 €

Liquidez

136,8 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

65.0% / 69.0%

Spread

6.2%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

1/04/26, 14:002/12/26, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Above 267%

Regras

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

0 €
Above 0: 99%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,4 €
2nd hottest: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,741.49+1.74%EthereumETH$1,654.91+1.01%SolanaSOL$65.03+0.77%HyperliquidHYPE$55.81-0.44%XRPXRP$1.12-0.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.99%

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Regras

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.