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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

0.1% (24h)CiênciaYearly6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
14–16
14–16 36%+0.5%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

455,3 €

Liquidez

10,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.3% / 1.0%

Spread

233.3%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.6%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

31/12/25, 17:1431/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

14–1636%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%HyperliquidHYPE$54.86-0.88%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.