PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
7.9 or below · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Referência guardada
7.9 or below 78%Líder entre 7 opções
7.9 or below 78%Qualidade do mercado
41 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
5,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaContratos em aberto
3 mil US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
7.9 or belowSpread
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Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 minutos
18/08/26, 14:53 UTC7/01/27, 16:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
Carregando maiores detentores
Profundidade de mercado · 7.9 or below
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- The "the named outcome" bracket covers any case in which the highest-magnitude earthquake during this market's timeframe is below 8.0, including the magnitude 7.8 already recorded in 2026 and any lower value.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- Magnitude is measured to one decimal place (e.g., 7.9).
- The USGS preferred magnitude at the end of this market's open period governs; later revisions do not reopen or change this market's resolution.
- An extension period extends this market's close from January 3, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET to as late as January 7, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET, and applies when a qualifying earthquake has occurred within this market's timeframe but the USGS has not yet published or finalized its preferred magnitude.