PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
7.9 or below 76.5%Líder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
43 €
Liquidez
6,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+1.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
18/08/26, 14:53 UTC4/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- The "the named outcome" bracket covers any case in which the highest-magnitude earthquake during this market's timeframe is below 8.0, including the magnitude 7.8 already recorded in 2026 and any lower value.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- Magnitude is measured to one decimal place (e.g., 7.9).
- The USGS preferred magnitude at the end of this market's open period governs; later revisions do not reopen or change this market's resolution.
- An extension period extends this market's close from January 3, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET to as late as January 7, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET, and applies when a qualifying earthquake has occurred within this market's timeframe but the USGS has not yet published or finalized its preferred magnitude.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota 7.9 or below em 77% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? é resolvido?
- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.