KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2040 64%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
17,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.8 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
14/08/25, 20:45 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Physical Review XQuantum Science and TechnologyProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesPhysical Review AMIT Technology ReviewReutersAssociated PressBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe New York TimesNature
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the first useful quantum computer be developed??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2040 em 64% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? é resolvido?
- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.