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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Ciência
  3. 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.1% (24h)CiênciaYearly6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 5%
Qualidade do mercado

91 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

2,6 mil €

Liquidez

30,5 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

4.7% / 4.8%

Spread

2.1%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-0.3%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

8/12/25, 23:2831/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes5%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,960.93+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.06+1.77%SolanaSOL$65.40+1.70%HyperliquidHYPE$56.01+0.90%XRPXRP$1.12+0.42%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
  • After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.