KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2035 50.4%Líder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
546,3 €
Liquidez
28,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
7.5 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
20/12/25, 3:002/01/27, 3:00
Tendências
Regras
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- A Kalshi cota Before 2035 em 50% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? é resolvido?
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.