Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80.3% em 11 de outubro de 2026.

O JavaScript está desativado. A navegação principal e as páginas editoriais continuam disponíveis, mas os widgets de mercado em tempo real, os gráficos, a pesquisa e os recursos de personalização podem ficar limitados.

Negociar em simulação

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

One-OffCiência Premiações7a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 80.3%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 minutos

18/09/23, 13:12 UTC2/01/34, 06:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

To date, 4 Nobel Prizes in Physics have been awarded for work in superconductivity: 1972, 1973, 1987. 2003.

Will another Nobel Prize award be for work on superconductors before 2034?
(While this would likely be in Physics, that is not required.)

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Mercados abertos

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Perguntas frequentes

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

Mercados abertos

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?