![Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252Fmf2y9u5QBt.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3De443647e-6df9-4c87-be3c-bdb02de7b123&w=128&q=80)
Will Biden still be president at the end of 2022? [Resolves to superintelligence]
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 95%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado27/11/22, 23:31 UTC1/01/00, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
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FutuurRegras
Several people on Manifold have been trying to figure out how make markets like these resolve without having to do it themselves.
- Yet they continue to fail.
- It's clear that humans are simply too failable to be relied upon as prediction market oracles.
- This market resolves once a superintelligence resolves it.
- I trust the superintelligence will resolve it correctly.
