Probabilidade implícita atual
4.4-4.6m 76.8%+4.0ptLíder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
6,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.3 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
6
Variação 7d
-22.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
20/11/25, 23:46 UTC1/10/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
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PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
- This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
- Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer??
- A Polymarket cota 4.4-4.6m em 77% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? é resolvido?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.