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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.5% (24h)CiênciaWeatherYearly3m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
<4m
<4m 51%+4.0%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

95,1 €

Liquidez

7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

24.4% / 30.0%

Spread

22.9%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.8%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

20/11/25, 23:561/10/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

<4m51%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,678.63+2.61%EthereumETH$1,652.06+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.91%HyperliquidHYPE$54.80-0.63%XRPXRP$1.12+0.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.06%

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.