KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Below 4.6 million sq km 99%+11.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
132,8 €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
25/07/26, 20:00 UTC2/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.8 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the lowest individual daily Extent value reported in the NSIDC Sea Ice Index Version 4 Northern Hemisphere daily CSV for a date within between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026, measured in millions of square kilometers.
- If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.6 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.5 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.4 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.3 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 232,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 227,3 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 186,1 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,6 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Below 4.6 million sq km em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 é resolvido?
- Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2025 and October 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 4.8 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.