Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 73%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado23/04/23, 12:06 UTC31/12/50, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This question will resolve as YES if the Arctic region experiences an ice-free summer by the year 2050.
- An ice-free summer is defined as a period of at least five consecutive days during which the Arctic sea ice extent is less than one million square kilometers, as measured by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
- The NSIDC uses a 30-year baseline (1981-2010) to calculate average sea ice extent, and an ice-free summer would represent a significant departure from this baseline.
- The question will resolve as NO if the Arctic region does not experience an ice-free summer by the year 2050, or if the data is inconclusive.
Mercados abertos
Weather
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? é resolvido?
- Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2050.
- Como Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will resolve as YES if the Arctic region experiences an ice-free summer by the year 2050.