Which milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer??

A Manifold Markets cota Public AGI Deployment em 53.9% em 24 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Which milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer? é resolvido?

Which milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.

Como Which milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves based on which of these major events occurs first:

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $79,000 or above97%
• $78,750 or above98.5%
• $78,500 or above99%

+77 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 1,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 1,1 mi

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

• 65-89+36.0pt87%
• 90-114-7.5pt13%
• 115-139-4.2pt0%

+7 mais resultados

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $71,000 or above97.5%
• $71,500 or above97.5%
• $72,000 or above97.5%

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.9915.1%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99+1.4pt14.8%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99-0.7pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 24, 2026?

• Albuquerque+3.0pt92.5%
• Minneapolis68%
• Denver+20.0pt67%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.4pt49.5%
• Gemini+0.8pt38.4%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

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