PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Callum Turner 31%Líder entre 49 opções
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
708 €
Liquidez
9,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
15.7% / 19.6%
Spread
3.9 pt
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-1.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
18/05/26, 23:0331/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Callum Turner31%
Comparar plataformas· Callum Turner
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · vinculado | Média | 41% | — | 1,6 mil € | 655,2 mil € | há 20 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Média | 31% | — | 708 € | 9,9 mil € | há 20 minutos | |
| PolymarketMais ativa82% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 0% | — | 11,2 mil € | 0 € | há 25 dias | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · verificado | — | 38% | — | — | — | há 27 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
0.2 ptsFechados
Resolvido
No Bond chosen (100%)
+0.2pt100%
-0.1pt0%
0%
+28 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total3,4 M €
Volume 24h11,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Kalshi
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
3a
41%
21%
16%
+21 mais resultados
74 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,2 M €
Volume 24h1,6 mil €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Next James Bond? (Including actually likely answers)
2a
38.3%
27.4%
5.3%
+19 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade29 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.9k88.0%KALSHITom Holland — Nohá 6 dias
KALSHITom Holland — Nohá 6 dias$1.3k49.0%KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHICallum Turner — Yeshá 10 dias$4.3k96.0%KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohá 11 dias
KALSHIScott Rose-Marsh — Nohá 11 dias$4.4k96.0%KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohá 11 dias
KALSHIRichard Madden — Nohá 11 dias$2.9k96.0%KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohá 11 dias
KALSHICharlie Hunnam — Nohá 11 diasTendência de volume
$8072 de jul.26d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
- If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.