KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 2 94%+16.0ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
591,3 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
13.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
2/06/26, 14:00 UTC29/06/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
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PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program
Mercados abertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 141,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 129,1 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 72,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 71,8 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 71,6 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota At least 2 em 94% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Major volcano eruption in 2026? é resolvido?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 29 de junho de 2027.
- Como Major volcano eruption in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.