KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Stephen Miran 14%+7.7ptLíder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
60 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
993,4 €
Liquidez
94,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.2 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
5/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
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PolymarketRegras
If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Library of Congress
- The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.
Mercados abertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,2 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,5 mil
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Stephen Miran em 14% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.